Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.007869 0.009226 0.010847 0.012958 0.015680 0.019137 0.023973
2025-07-20 0.006227 0.007878 0.010082 0.013349 0.018275 0.025814 0.039139
2025-07-27 0.005237 0.006949 0.009404 0.013382 0.020106 0.032042 0.058029
2025-08-03 0.004590 0.006312 0.008922 0.013459 0.021903 0.039038 0.085008
2025-08-10 0.004019 0.005669 0.008270 0.013037 0.022598 0.044262 0.114589
2025-08-17 0.003523 0.005062 0.007558 0.012316 0.022424 0.047469 0.143709
2025-08-24 0.003151 0.004600 0.007009 0.011765 0.022417 0.051154 0.182747
2025-08-31 0.002964 0.004413 0.006900 0.012036 0.024369 0.061833 0.287179
2025-09-07 0.002726 0.004112 0.006544 0.011722 0.024783 0.068112 0.395893
2025-09-14 0.002504 0.003815 0.006155 0.011261 0.024665 0.072566 0.522253
2025-09-21 0.002362 0.003646 0.005985 0.011249 0.025807 0.083357 0.838638
2025-09-28 0.002273 0.003560 0.005962 0.011569 0.028081 0.102338 1.750230
2025-10-05 0.002211 0.003531 0.006073 0.012308 0.032362 0.142082 8.015155
2025-10-12 0.002117 0.003432 0.006032 0.012679 0.035746 0.187696 109.957137
2025-10-19 0.002005 0.003288 0.005877 0.012709 0.037921 0.233338 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001908 0.003164 0.005748 0.012781 0.040391 0.296125 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001788 0.002986 0.005477 0.012388 0.040575 0.334508 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001662 0.002785 0.005134 0.011715 0.039111 0.344260 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001557 0.002620 0.004858 0.011201 0.038251 0.364885 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001509 0.002566 0.004832 0.011454 0.041596 0.502275 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001433 0.002448 0.004645 0.011161 0.041797 0.573959 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001355 0.002322 0.004426 0.010730 0.041002 0.615267 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001306 0.002253 0.004339 0.010718 0.042810 0.790939 NaN